Regional turmoil and the proliferation of militias
have weakened efforts to strengthen national identities in the Middle East.
A survey of the region paints a grim picture.
Egypt is surrounded by turmoil from Sudan in the south
to Libya in the west and Gaza in the east. Jordan is also struggling on
multiple fronts.
To the north, it faces war with organised drug
smuggling groups and, to the west, it faces Israel’s war of aggression on Gaza.
In Iraq, militias run rampant and continue to marginalise state authority.
The proliferation of militias marks a profound
transformation in the region's political landscape and is one of the most
important consequences of the wave of change sweeping the region and the
broader world.
In October alone, there were many examples of this.
Apart from Israel's war on Gaza, the PKK carried out an attack in the heart of
Ankara. Then, there was a devastating attack on the military college in Homs, Syria,
carried out by the Turkestan Islamic Party.
In January, the Islamic State (IS) reportedly claimed
responsibility for 34 attacks in Syria alone, including the multiple deaths of
the tragic assault in Kerman.
In Yemen, the Houthis are majorly disrupting maritime
traffic in the Red Sea, as the US, Britain, and Europe are also operating there
to counter the attacks.
And to the west, in Sudan, the Rapid Support Forces
are engaged in civil war, while Libya is home to disparate militias
representing a grave national security challenge.
In a region dotted with militias with foreign agendas,
achieving national stability and development is becoming increasingly
difficult.
It seems these non-state actors are learning from each
other while also acquiring the weaponry and technology to inflict significant
harm in their attacks.
The decline of the nation-state
For a long period, nation-states were the dominant
force in the Middle East, complete with powerful military and security
institutions.
Militia groups had little choice but to engage with
nations. Hamas participated in elections, and Hezbollah ran in the
parliamentary elections.
Over time, such groups began to feel that they were
becoming stronger than some of the parties in government or had the ability to
overtake them. The state started to look more like an obstacle to their
ambitions rather than a means towards them.
Then came the Arab Spring, which created a wave of
instability. Economic disparities, identity politics, oppression, and regional
and foreign intervention bolstered militias.
This intervention not only strengthened militias'
capabilities but also turned them into proxies for carrying out other states'
foreign agendas. They have gotten so strong that, in some cases, they even pose
a threat to the states supporting them.
In Iraq and Syria for example, state armies are not
only struggling to maintain order, but are also behaving like militias
themselves. Irregular activities include drug smuggling and assassinations.
The Middle East's unique amalgamation of active and
dormant conflicts, coupled with foreign influence, has created a fertile ground
for the proliferation of non-state actors. If the region continues along this
trajectory, militias will further mushroom.
Because every militia in the region has its own unique
characteristics and objectives — from IS
and Hezbollah to Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the Houthis — each group must
be dealt with differently.
Innovative approaches
This new grim reality demands innovative diplomatic
approaches and strategies to address the multifaceted challenges presented. A
unified pan-regional strategy is necessary to reassert state control.
Government agencies and the international community
must devise strategies that incorporate these entities into a viable and
peaceful regional framework.
Achieving this integration will require a blend of
comprehensive solutions, ranging from military intervention, as seen in the
confrontation with IS, to stepped-up diplomacy.
A thorough understanding of them – and engagement with
them – are indispensable components of any holistic strategy for long-term
stability and peace in the region.